KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
David Crowley 77.5%+2.0ptAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualite du marche
85 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
14,8 k €
Liquidité
355,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
75.0% / 76.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 minutes
26 janv. 25, 15:003 nov. 27, 15:00
Tendances
Règles
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Wisconsin pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Wisconsin Elections Commission
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Wisconsin pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Jon Ossoff16.2%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt15.2%
+44 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 160,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 845,4 k €
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+2.0pt64.2%
- Ralph Norman-4.0pt27.5%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 11,5 M €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom15%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt14%
+125 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro32.4%
- Renan Santos+0.2pt4.9%
+29 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio+0.4pt12%
+125 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance-1.0pt45.3%
- Marco Rubio-3.0pt21.1%
- Ron DeSantis-0.2pt5.3%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 50,3 M €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Wisconsin Governor winner? ?
- Kalshi cote David Crowley à 78% au 21 août 2026.
- Quand Wisconsin Governor winner? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Wisconsin Governor winner? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2027.
- Comment Wisconsin Governor winner? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Wisconsin pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Wisconsin Governor winner? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Robinhood (Rothera).