KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Republican 52.5%
Qualité du marché
44 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
2 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
40.0% / 47.0%
Écart
7.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes
15 juil. 25, 14:00 UTC7 nov. 29, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Vermont pursuant to the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Vermont Secretary of State
- If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Vermont pursuant to the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.6pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 112,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,2 M €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.9pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 184,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 891,3 k €
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson67.3%
- Susan Collins32.7%
- Volume total
- 4,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 505,9 k €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Volume total
- 25,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 384,3 k €
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
- Volume total
- 2,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 358,3 k €
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- TX-15 House winner?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Vermont Governor Winner? (2028) ?
- Kalshi cote Republican à 53% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Vermont Governor Winner? (2028) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Vermont Governor Winner? (2028) doit être résolu le 7 novembre 2029.
- Comment Vermont Governor Winner? (2028) est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Vermont pursuant to the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes.