KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Democratic party 55.3%Ajusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
43 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
51.0% / 57.0%
Écart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
15 mai 26, 21:00 UTC1 févr. 29, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If the the named outcome has won control of the Senate in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Library of Congress
- This market may be determined early based on a consensus of media calls projecting control of the U.S. Senate.
- See full rules for details.
- Otherwise, victory will be determined by the party identification of the President pro tempore of the Senate on February 1, 2029.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+81.8pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-81.6pt0%
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- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.1%
+45 résultats de plus
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- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt45.5%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-1.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.6pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour 2028 Senate winner ?
- Kalshi cote Democratic party à 55% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand 2028 Senate winner sera-t-il résolu ?
- 2028 Senate winner doit être résolu le 1 février 2029.
- Comment 2028 Senate winner est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the the named outcome has won control of the Senate in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.