Alerte qualité des donnéesPrix non significatif
Données au 9 sept. 2026, 03:16 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Laura Gillen 88.6%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueAchat / Vente
89.0% / 90.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréTraders
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
24 août 26, 12:48 UTC10 nov. 26, 01:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in New York-04?
- If the named outcome wins the 2026 U.S. House election in NY-04, then this market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources.
- View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F8634b5141fe14d6783a347884150d6bd?alt=media&token=f103a20d-e51f-47f5-ad36-03aaaafec1cc&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Next French Presidential Election
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour New York-04 House Winner ?
- Gemini cote Laura Gillen à 89% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand New York-04 House Winner sera-t-il résolu ?
- New York-04 House Winner doit être résolu le 10 novembre 2026.
- Comment New York-04 House Winner est-il réglé ?
- Gemini règle ce marché comme suit : Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in New York-04?