Alerte qualité des donnéesAucune cotation en direct
Données au 27 juil. 2026, 04:50 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
6,300 or below 99%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
22 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
0 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
-
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
3 mars 26, 11:3731 déc. 26, 21:00
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
6,300 or below99%
Comparer les plateformes· 6,300 or below
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMeilleur global88% de correspondance · auto | Élevée | 31% | 0pt | 444,4 € | 306,2 k € | il y a 16 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 GeminiCette page | Faible | 99% | +68pt | 0 € | 0 € | il y a 16 minutes |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
How low will the S&P get this year?
0.5 pts5mo
+0.2pt28.7%
-0.5pt26.9%
+0.1pt19.4%
+2 résultats de plus
76 • Haute qualitéSpread serréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total655,9 k €
Volume 24h444,4 €
KALSHIRègles
How low will the S&P get this year?
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is below 6,300, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from For example, Google Finance.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F13749dfcb87e4ecc8d88c9cdf3d5cea9?alt=media&token=4907b68a-a6c5-4e1a-973f-6af20fe9d50c&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is below 6,400, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is below 6,200, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Grosses transactions
$6.6k86.0%KALSHI5,900 or below — No-13 j
KALSHI5,900 or below — No-13 jMarchés Associés
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How low will the S&P get this year?
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is below 6,300, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from For example, Google Finance.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F13749dfcb87e4ecc8d88c9cdf3d5cea9?alt=media&token=4907b68a-a6c5-4e1a-973f-6af20fe9d50c&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is below 6,400, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is below 6,200, then the market resolves to Yes.