Probabilité implicite actuelle
Richard Pan 92.8%Ajusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueAchat / Vente
96.0% / 97.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréTraders
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
24 août 26, 12:48 UTC10 nov. 26, 01:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which California House Districts will Democrats win in the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWho will win California House district 48? (CA-48)
Manifold MarketsCalifornia-01 House Winner
GeminiCalifornia-03 House Winner
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GeminiCalifornia 52 House General Election: voter turnout
KalshiRègles
Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in California-06?
- If the named outcome wins the 2026 U.S. House election in CA-06, then this market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources.
- View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F8634b5141fe14d6783a347884150d6bd?alt=media&token=f103a20d-e51f-47f5-ad36-03aaaafec1cc&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
Marchés ouverts
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POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
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- J.D. Vance50%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour California-06 House Winner ?
- Gemini cote Richard Pan à 93% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand California-06 House Winner sera-t-il résolu ?
- California-06 House Winner doit être résolu le 10 novembre 2026.
- Comment California-06 House Winner est-il réglé ?
- Gemini règle ce marché comme suit : Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in California-06?