FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
8,000 or above 33.3%En tête parmi 6 options
8,000 or above 33.3%Qualité du marché
37 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
4 k €
Liquidité moyenneTraders
38
Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Anthropic stock begin public trading on or before November 6, 2026?
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KalshiWill members of Congress be banned from trading stocks before 2027?
Manifold MarketsNasdaq round-the-clock trading by December 31?
PolymarketAnyone indicted for insider trading or market manipulation for 4/7/25 events?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This set of markets predicts the official closing price of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on the final regular trading day of 2026 (expected to be December 31, 2026).
- Only one market under this event will resolve to "Yes".
- If the reported value falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, the higher range applies.
- The Primary Designated Source is the official S&P 500 (SPX) closing level for that session as published by S&P Dow Jones Indices, the index's official administrator; the daily "Close" value reported by major financial data providers (e.g., Yahoo Finance under "Historical Prices," Bloomberg, Reuters) may be used as a guide.
- If the final trading day's session is shortened (e.g., a holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session is used.
- If no official closing price is published for that session (e.g., a trading halt into the close, system failure, or other disruption), the last valid regular-session on-exchange price is used as the effective close.
