FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 92%
Non 92%Qualité du marché
31 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
198,9 €
Faible liquiditéTraders
6
Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor be removed from the royal line of succession?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
This market concerns whether Andrew Mountbatten‑Windsor is sentenced to any term of jail or prison between February 26, 2026, 00:00:00 UTC and December 31, 2026, 23:59:59 UTC (the “Market Period”).
- A qualifying outcome requires a formal criminal court sentence imposing custodial incarceration, regardless of duration.
- Suspended sentences, fines, probation, or non‑custodial penalties do not qualify.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the official sentencing record issued by the competent criminal court or relevant government authority.
- Resolution refers to the first official custodial sentence imposed during the Market Period.
- If, during the Market Period, a criminal court formally sentences Andrew Mountbatten‑Windsor to any term of incarceration, this market will resolve to “Yes”.