Will Trump's 538 favorability rating be 37.4% or higher on April 14?
Polymarket
PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Yes
Resuelto: 18 abr 2023, 20:02
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí 100%
Calidad del mercado
15 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 150 días
Desactualizado10 abr 23, 21:5014 abr 23, 0:00
Tendencias
100%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump's favorability rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight is greater than or equal to 37.4% for the day of April 14, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will resolve according to the datapoint for April 14 as soon as a datapoint for April 15 becomes available. This market may not resolve until the April 15 datapoint is available.
- If no datapoint for April 14 is available by April 15, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous favorability rating to April 14.
- The resolution source is Trump's 538 favorability rating currently available at https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump/, specifically the Indigo line labeled "Favorable."
- Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the favorability rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.