Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
0.4 pts (24h)
PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: 20+
Datos de resolución no verificados
Este resultado se infiere o no está respaldado por evidencia de liquidación de nivel proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actual
20+ 100%+23.1ptLíder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
127 mil €
Liquidez
569,5 mil €
Alta liquidezCambio 7d
-84.8 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 112 días
Desactualizado24 mar 26, 17:0830 abr 26, 0:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
20+82%
80+1%
60+1%
40+0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and April 30, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The number of daily transit calls/arrivals includes container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.