Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by which date?
10.9 pts (24h)
PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado está cerrado y esperando una resolución confirmada.
Datos de resolución no verificados
Este resultado se infiere o no está respaldado por evidencia de liquidación de nivel proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actual
April 30 100%+10.9ptLíder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
83,7 mil €
Liquidez
12,9 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
+79.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 129 días
Desactualizado29 ene 26, 3:4331 may 26, 0:00
Tendencias
100%
100%
0%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Rai-Oleksandrivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.8088° N, 37.8573° E) between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of Rai-Oleksandrivka is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.