Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12?
PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Yes
Resuelto: 13 dic 2023, 17:31
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí 100%
Calidad del mercado
15 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 122 días
Desactualizado6 dic 23, 16:1313 dic 23, 0:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight is greater than or equal to 38.0% for the day of December 12, 2023.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- This market will resolve according to the datapoint for December 12 as soon as a datapoint for December 13 becomes available.
- This market may not resolve until the December 13 datapoint is available.