Will Idalia hit Florida as a major hurricane?
Weather
PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Yes
Resuelto: 30 ago 2023, 16:46
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí 100%
Calidad del mercado
15 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 123 días
Desactualizado28 ago 23, 18:1530 ago 23, 0:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Idalia makes landfall in Florida as a major hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?).
- If Idalia is not officially reported to be Category 3 or greater status at the time of landfall in Florida or dissipates without making landfall in Florida, this market shall resolve to "No."
- For the purposes of this market, a major hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 111 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a major hurricane landfall is said to occur when the major hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
- This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Idalia has made landfall in Florida at category 3 or greater strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Idalia hit Florida as a major hurricane??
- Polymarket cotiza Yes al 100% a fecha de 24 de abril de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Idalia hit Florida as a major hurricane??
- Está previsto que Will Idalia hit Florida as a major hurricane? se resuelva el 30 de agosto de 2023.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Idalia hit Florida as a major hurricane??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Idalia makes landfall in Florida as a major hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?).