Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in November?
Weather
PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No
Resuelto: 1 dic 2023, 7:04
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Probabilidad implícita actual
No 100%
Calidad del mercado
15 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 122 días
Desactualizado31 oct 23, 16:0930 nov 23, 0:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between November 1 and November 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET as described in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/).
- If no tropical systems make landfall in the conterminous United States at hurricane status within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market may only resolve to "No" after November 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
- For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.
- This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in November??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 100% a fecha de 25 de abril de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in November??
- Está previsto que Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in November? se resuelva el 30 de noviembre de 2023.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in November??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between November 1 and November 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET as described in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/).