Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states in October?
Weather
PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No
Evidencia de resolución limitada
CoinRithm puede mostrar el resultado registrado, pero no todos los campos de liquidación están verificados por el proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actual
No 100%
Calidad del mercado
15 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 122 días
Desactualizado3 oct 22, 0:0031 oct 22, 0:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between October 1, 2022 (12:00 AM ET), and October 31, 2022 (11:59:59 PM ET), as listed on the National Hurricane Center website (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/).
- If no tropical systems with hurricane status make landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market may only resolve to "No" after October 31, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
- For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL
- This market will resolve based on an initial announcement released by NOAA that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
