Will another Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before October 15?
Weather
PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No
Evidencia de resolución limitada
CoinRithm puede mostrar el resultado registrado, pero no todos los campos de liquidación están verificados por el proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actual
No 100%
Calidad del mercado
15 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 123 días
Desactualizado16 sept 21, 0:0015 oct 21, 0:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Reglas
This market shall resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States between the launch of this market, September 16, 2021 at 3:00 PM ET, and 11:59:59 PM ET on October 14, 2021 as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories.
- The status of the hurricane at landfall and the approximate time of landfall as reported in the advisory indicating landfall will be used to resolve this market.
- If no tropical systems make landfall as hurricane status between the launch of this market and October 14, this market shall resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at ttps://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
- No retrospective analyses after the advisory indicating landfall will have any bearing on the resolution of this market.
