PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 68%+33.0pt
Calidad del mercado
38 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
130,4 €
Liquidez
951,7 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
26.0% / 38.0%
Spread
12.0 pt
Spread amplioComments
0
Cambio 7d
-37.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
20 jul 26, 19:541 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List").
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe.
- If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
Mercados abiertos
Macro & EconomyPOLYMARKETBank of Korea decision in August?
- 25 bps hike-3.0pt72.3%
- No Change+5.5pt27.7%
- 50+ bps cut0%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 47,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 8,4 mil €
KALSHIHow low will the S&P get this year?
- 6,300 or below+6.0pt23%
- 6,200 or below+3.0pt23%
- 6,100 or below15%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 687,1 mil €
KALSHIFear & Greed Index on Aug 21, 2026?
- Greed-2.0pt54.5%
- Neutral+20.0pt43.1%
- Extreme Greed-6.0pt0.8%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIHow high will the S&P get this year?
- 7,800 or above99%
- 8,000 or above-0.4pt64%
- 8,200 or above-2.2pt36%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 915,3 mil €
KALSHIWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?
- Productivity74%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence-9.0pt70%
- Independent / Independence70%
+17 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 39 mil €
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60+2.0pt46%
- Above $4.80+7.0pt40%
- Above $5.0028%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,1 M €
- Which companies will conduct layoffs this year?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- ISM Services PMI - August 2026
- University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026
- TSA avg check-ins from Aug 17 to 23, 2026?
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?
- US electricity price in August
- What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de US bank failure by December 31, 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 68% a fecha de 21 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve US bank failure by December 31, 2026??
- Está previsto que US bank failure by December 31, 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida US bank failure by December 31, 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List").