Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
0.1 pts (24h)
PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No (100%)
Resuelto: 2 jun 2026, 18:21
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
No
A 7 días
98%
A 24 horas
—
Probabilidad implícita actualNo 100%
Calidad del mercado
32 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
135,7 mil €
Liquidez
0 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
- / 0.1%
Cambio 7d
-2.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 54 días
Desactualizado31 mar 26, 21:4531 may 26, 0:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes0%
No100%
0%
100%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· No
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Baja | 100% | — | 135,7 mil € | 0 € | hace 54 días | |
 Manifold Markets77% de coincidencia · auto | — | 100% | — | — | — | hace 57 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Manifold Markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? [Polymarket]
Cerrados
Resuelto
No (99.7%)
99.7%
0.3%
Pronóstico comunitario318 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.