PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Alabama 51%Líder entre 40 opciones
Alabama 51%Calidad del mercado
24 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
140,2 €
Baja liquidezSpread
99.0 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
8 oct 26, 13:00 UTC15 oct 26, 13:00 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of October 13, 2026?
PolymarketPercent of Cattle in drought - week of October 13, 2026
PolymarketPercent of Corn in drought - week of October 13, 2026
PolymarketPercent of Soybeans in drought - week of October 13, 2026
PolymarketWill a robot demonstrate exceptional speed, versatility, and performance in extreme environments by 2040?
Manifold MarketsNew York J: To Break Playoff Drought
KalshiReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed state that has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 13, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
- States appear only during the months in which they plausibly reach D4, so this event's roster changes through the year. 40 of the 48 coterminous states are in season for October: Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, the named outcome, the named outcome, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, Washington, the named outcome, Wisconsin, Wyoming.
- A state absent from this event is not making any claim about that state's drought — it simply has no market this week.
- Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.