PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaEste mercado se resolvió: Up (100%)
Resuelto: 30 jun 2026, 20:17
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
Up
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
—
Probabilidad implícita actualUp 100%+0.3pt
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
1,8 mil €
Liquidez
0 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 27 días
Desactualizado29 jun 26, 12:0630 jun 26, 20:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Up100%
Down0%
100%
0%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· Up
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMejor en general85% de coincidencia · vinculado | Baja | 99% | — | 16,6 mil € | 101,8 € | hace 28 días | Abrir → |
| Polymarket72% de coincidencia · vinculado | Baja | 100% | — | 2,2 mil € | 0 € | hace 27 días | Abrir → |
| PolymarketEsta página | Baja | 100% | — | 1,8 mil € | 0 € | hace 27 días | |
 Limitless85% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 50% | — | 0 € | 0 € | hace 28 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Limitless
S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
Cerrados
Resuelto
Sí (50%)
50%
50%
15 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total49,8 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
LIMITLESSTambién disponible en Kalshi
S&P 500 Daily Up/Down
Cerrados
Resuelto
Sí (99%)
99%
1%
49 • Baja calidadSpread estrechoBaja liquidez
Volumen total16,6 mil €
Volumen 24h16,6 mil €
KALSHITambién disponible en Polymarket
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 30?
49.5 ptsCerrados
Resuelto
Up (100%)
+0.5pt100%
-0.5pt0%
49 • Baja calidadSpread estrechoBaja liquidez
Volumen total60 mil €
Volumen 24h2,2 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on June 30, 2026 is higher than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on June 30, 2026 is lower than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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POLYMARKETActivos en estos temas
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on June 30, 2026 is higher than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on June 30, 2026 is lower than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.