PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actualDemocratic Party 96.9%+0.1ptLíder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
23,8 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
2.3% / 2.9%
Spread
0.6 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
-3.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
28 ene 26, 21:443 nov 26, 0:00
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Democratic Party95%
Comparar plataformas· Democratic Party
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Baja | 95% | — | 0 € | 23,8 mil € | hace 13 minutos | |
 Kalshi60% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 97% | — | 0 € | 219 € | hace 13 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Kalshi
NY-15 House winner?
1a
97%
3%
49 • Baja calidadSpread moderadoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total219,9 €
Volumen 24h0 €
KALSHIReglas
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$1.3k94.3%POLYMARKETWill the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat? — Yes123905hace 4 d
POLYMARKETWill the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat? — Yes123905hace 4 dTendencia de volumen
$503 jul19d de datos27 jul
Mercados Relacionados
Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
238,7 mil €At least 1%: 95%KALSHI
KALSHI
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?
136,3 mil €Haley Stevens: 31%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which party will win the U.S. House?
79,7 mil €Republican Party: 17%KALSHI
KALSHI
Trump out as President by July 31?
54,6 mil €Sí: 0%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
17,6 mil €Sí: 34%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
9,2 mil €Democrats Sweep: 44%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.NewsReglas
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.