PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 96%
Calidad del mercado
67 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
35,6 €
Liquidez
15,9 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
3.7% / 4.3%
Spread
0.6 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
4
Cambio 7d
+0.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
5 feb 26, 23:34 UTC1 ene 27, 5:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Any newly graduated Pump.fun token listed on a major CEX in 2026?
PolymarketLAPTOP listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?
PolymarketCambria listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?
PolymarketWhen will Bitcoin cross $100k again?
Manifold MarketsWill Bitcoin go below $30,000 before reaching a new all time high?
Manifold Marketsfrom now march 21 2026 Will Bitcoin hit $100,000 before 2027?”
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if official information released by any of the following major centralized exchanges: Binance, Coinbase, Bybit, OKX, or Kraken, official representatives of such exchange (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that the exchange is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mercados abiertos
CryptoPOLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.4pt100%
- 74,000+1.4pt100%
- 68,000100%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 936 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 714,5 mil €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt98%
- $25M+0.8pt95%
- $50M+10.0pt95%
+4 resultados más
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $77,000 or above98%
+77 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 567,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 564,3 mil €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $79,365.65 target
- No84%
- Yes16%
- Volumen total
- 1,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 482,8 mil €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- $78,700 or above99%
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,600 or above99%
+97 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 403 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 382,6 mil €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,2 M €
- What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Bitcoin all time high by which date?
- Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Major CEX insolvent in 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 96% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Major CEX insolvent in 2026??
- Está previsto que Major CEX insolvent in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Major CEX insolvent in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to “Yes” if official information released by any of the following major centralized exchanges: Binance, Coinbase, Bybit, OKX, or Kraken, official representatives of such exchange (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that the exchange is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy.