PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actualThomas Chalifoux 74%+2.5%Líder entre 21 opciones
Calidad del mercado
72 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
43,9 €
Liquidez
27,5 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
72.0% / 76.0%
Spread
5.6%
Spread moderadoCambio 7d
+0.5%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
23 dic 25, 22:4418 ago 26, 0:00
Tendencias
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Thomas Chalifoux74%
Comparar plataformas· Thomas Chalifoux
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Media | 74% | 0pt | 43,9 € | 27,5 mil € | hace 1 minuto | |
 Kalshi88% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 69% | -5pt | 0 € | 4,8 mil € | hace 17 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Kalshi
FL-09 Republican nominee?
1a
69%
7%
6%
+7 resultados más
40 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total6,6 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
KALSHIReglas
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
- If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
- Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$503 jul11d de datos14 jul
Mercados Relacionados
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2,3 M €Gavin Newsom: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Presidential Election Winner 2028
1,2 M €JD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
675 mil €Robert F. Kennedy: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
245,7 mil €Before August: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Trump attend The World Cup Final?
229,2 mil €Sí: 94%KALSHI
KALSHI
2028 Republican presidential nominee
174,1 mil €J.D. Vance: 41%KALSHI
KALSHIActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.85% as Texas poll shifts focusBlockchain.News
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News
Supreme Court blow to Trump knocks Newsom to 20.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.News
After SCOTUS mail vote loss, Trump pushes SAVE Act as Vance holds 19.4%Blockchain.NewsSupreme Court rebuff hits Trump as Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49%Blockchain.NewsReglas
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
- If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
- Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.