PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: <40 (100%)
Esperando resolución verificada
CoinRithm espera una liquidación confirmada por el proveedor antes de tratar este mercado como resuelto.
Probabilidad implícita actual<40 100%+22.4%Líder entre 10 opciones
Calidad del mercado
72 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
248,1 mil €
Liquidez
0 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1%
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado16 jul 26, 16:0720 jul 26, 16:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
<40100%
40-649%
90-1143%
65-896%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Operaciones grandes
$5.7k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026? — Yestianjiyuyunzhiluhace 16 h
POLYMARKETWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026? — Yestianjiyuyunzhiluhace 16 h$5.7k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026? — Notianjiyuyunzhiluhace 16 h
POLYMARKETWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026? — Notianjiyuyunzhiluhace 16 h$4.5k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026? — Nobuputonghace 23 h
POLYMARKETWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026? — Nobuputonghace 23 h$1.7k99.5%POLYMARKETWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026? — Noluca88ayer
POLYMARKETWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026? — Noluca88ayerTendencia de volumen
$283.4k16 jul6d de datos21 jul
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This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 18 12:00 PM ET to July 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
- The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.