PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Down (100%)
Resuelto: 5 jul 2026, 16:20
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
Down
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
53%
Probabilidad implícita actualDown 100%+0.5pt
Calidad del mercado
31 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
117,5 mil €
Liquidez
0 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
- / 0.1%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 21 días
Desactualizado3 jul 26, 16:005 jul 26, 16:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Up0%
Down100%
Contexto del Precio de la Cripto
Los movimientos del precio de la cripto se muestran como contexto y no implican causalidad.
BTC55,22 mil € → 55,58 mil €+0.7%
0%
100%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· Down
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LimitlessMejor en general90% de coincidencia · auto | Baja | 85% | — | 402,1 mil € | 0 € | hace 22 días | Abrir → |
| PolymarketEsta página | Baja | 100% | — | 117,5 mil € | 0 € | hace 21 días |
También disponible en Limitless
BTC Up or Down - Daily
Cerrados
Resuelto
No (85%)
85%
15%
34 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidez
Volumen total402,1 mil €
Volumen 24h402,1 mil €
LIMITLESSReglas
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 5 '26 12:00 ET candle.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 5 '26 12:00 ET candle.
- If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
- The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
- Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$1.7k95.5%POLYMARKETDowncts977hace 22 d
POLYMARKETDowncts977hace 22 d$2.2k69.7%POLYMARKETDownchechefishhace 23 d
POLYMARKETDownchechefishhace 23 dTendencia de volumen
$133.7k4 jul3d de datos6 jul
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POLYMARKETActivos en estos temas
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 5 '26 12:00 ET candle.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 5 '26 12:00 ET candle.
- If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
- The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
- Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.