MyriadProbabilidad implícita actual
Spain 11.2%+0.2%Líder entre 20 opciones
Calidad del mercado
28 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
0 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
-
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 minutos
24 feb 26, 15:3119 jul 26, 19:00
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Spain11%
Comparar plataformas· France
Ordenado por volumen de 24h| Plataforma | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMás activa | 33% | -1pt | 42,2 M € | 61,2 M € | hace 7 minutos | Abrir → |
 Kalshi | 33% | -1pt | 30,5 M € | 703,7 M € | hace 1 minuto | Abrir → |
 Rothera | 36% | +2pt | 10,9 M € | 45,7 M € | hace 15 minutos | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets | 35% | +1pt | — | — | hace 16 minutos | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets | 35% | +1pt | — | — | hace 16 minutos | Abrir → |
 Limitless | 34% | 0pt | 4,8 mil € | 0 € | hace 16 minutos | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets | 35% | +1pt | — | — | hace 16 minutos | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets | 36% | +2pt | — | — | hace 16 minutos | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets | 35% | +1pt | — | — | hace 16 minutos | Abrir → |
| MyriadEsta página | 56% | +22pt | 0 € | 0 € | hace 15 minutos | |
| Manifold Markets | 33% | -1pt | — | — | hace 16 minutos | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets | 35% | +1pt | — | — | hace 13 horas | Abrir → |
También disponible en Manifold Markets
World cup 2026 winner
11d
-3.6%0.9%
+1.9%17.7%
-0.2%35.5%
+6 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario19 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
Volumen total2 mil €
Volumen 24h291,2 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Kalshi
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
9.7%2a
+9.7%19%
+0.9%2%
-2.1%6%
+45 resultados más
100 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total951,1 M €
Volumen 24h30,5 M €
KALSHITambién disponible en Rothera
World Cup 2026: Winner
12d
19%
1%
4%
+10 resultados más
77 • Alta calidadSpread desconocidoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total10,9 M €
Volumen 24h10,9 M €
ROTHERATambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Which country will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11d
+7.4%19.2%
0%
-0.2%35%
+38 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario110 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
Volumen total71,1 mil €
Volumen 24h4,8 mil €
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Which team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11d
0%
0%
0%
+45 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario135 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
Volumen total75,3 mil €
Volumen 24h3,5 mil €
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Polymarket
World Cup Winner
0.8%11d
-0.4%33%
-0.2%19%
+11.8%19%
+57 resultados más
89 • Alta calidadSpread moderadoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total3596,2 M €
Volumen 24h42,2 M €
POLYMARKETTambién disponible en Limitless
World Cup Winner
3m
18%
34%
16.4%
+6 resultados más
49 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total162,7 mil €
Volumen 24h4,8 mil €
LIMITLESSTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
World Cup Winner
5d
3%
7%
19%
+5 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario12 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
Volumen total1,6 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Who will win the 2026 FIFA Men’s World Cup?
10d
-3.5%14.6%
-2.9%17.1%
-0.7%35.2%
+14 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario59 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
Volumen total12,2 mil €
Volumen 24h101,7 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Which Team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Cerrados
0.2%
5.3%
16.5%
+40 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario172 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
Volumen total89,2 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
2026 FIFA World Cup ⚽ | 🏆 Winner
11d
0%
-4.5%35.4%
+0.1%13.6%
+47 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario704 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
Volumen total720,9 mil €
Volumen 24h109,6 mil €
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
### **Market Dates:**
- **Market Period:** From the publication date until July 19, 2026 at 7:00 PM UTC.
- **Market Close:** July 19, 2026 at 7:00 PM UTC, right before the World Cup Final kicks off.
- **Resolution Deadline:** The outcome will be determined once official results are published by the governing body of the tournament.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **national team that officially wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup**. - In case a team that is not represented by its own bracket wins, this market resolves to “Other” - The result will be based solely on official FIFA confirmation. - If the confirmed winner is later removed, stripped of the title, or disqualified after the market has already resolved, this will not affect the settled outcome.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Mercados Relacionados
France vs Morocco: Goalscorer
1,3 M €Kylian Mbappe: 1+: 55%KALSHI
KALSHI
France vs Morocco: First Half Winner
145,3 mil €Morocco wins 1st Half: 15%KALSHI
KALSHI
World Cup Semifinal Matchup
47,2 mil €Norway vs Argentina: 28%KALSHI
KALSHI
World Cup: Morocco Stage of Elimination
32,3 mil €Quarterfinals: 78%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
World Cup: Lionel Messi Goals
23 mil €1+: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWhich teams will make it to the semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3,9 mil €Canada: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Ronaldo says World Cup goodbye as Polymarket Golden Ball odds sit at 50%Blockchain.News
England beats Mexico, Polymarket keeps Golden Ball leader at 50%Blockchain.News
Germany out on pens, Polymarket keeps 5+ missed kicks favored at 45.45%Blockchain.News
Azteca showdown vs Ecuador nudges Mexico to 43.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.News
Scotland routed by Brazil as Polymarket pegs Iraq group exit at 98%Blockchain.News
World Cup boom sends Polymarket volume up 300% while Kalshi sets open interest recordsThe BlockReglas
### **Market Dates:**
- **Market Period:** From the publication date until July 19, 2026 at 7:00 PM UTC.
- **Market Close:** July 19, 2026 at 7:00 PM UTC, right before the World Cup Final kicks off.
- **Resolution Deadline:** The outcome will be determined once official results are published by the governing body of the tournament.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **national team that officially wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup**. - In case a team that is not represented by its own bracket wins, this market resolves to “Other” - The result will be based solely on official FIFA confirmation. - If the confirmed winner is later removed, stripped of the title, or disqualified after the market has already resolved, this will not affect the settled outcome.