Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 74.7%
Pronosticadores
42
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado20 may 23, 21:07 UTC1 ene 41, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Resolves NO if, at any point during his life, Xi is no longer considered the most powerful leader in China.
- Resolves YES if he dies at the top.
- I will extend this market indefinitely as necessary.
- This may be biased toward NO, since he's only 69 and YES holders might have to wait decades to get their payout.
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
