Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 85%
Pronosticadores
30
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 49 minutos
Retrasado14 jun 24, 6:37 UTC1 ene 31, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
This market resolves to "Yes" if at any point between June 13, 2024 and December 31, 2030, the S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index experiences a drop of 20% or more from its previous peak value.
- Resolution Criteria:
- Data Source: The data source for determining housing prices will be the S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index.
- Calculation Method:
- Identify the peak monthly values of the S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index from June 2024 to December 2030.
- Monitor the index values following the peak.
