Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 67.9%
Pronosticadores
21
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado16 feb 25, 23:23 UTC20 ene 30, 5:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiReglas
Background Manifold prediction markets vary widely in trader participation, with factors like topic relevance, market duration, and visibility influencing engagement.
- Markets about meta-predictions (predictions about the market itself) can create interesting feedback loops where trader behavior directly influences the outcome.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if the total number of unique traders who have placed at least one trade on this market exceeds 999.5 by January 1, 2030 at 12:00 AM UTC.
- Otherwise, it will resolve NO.
- The number of traders can be verified through Manifold's public API and market statistics.
- Considerations
