Will there be a mass influx of people to Melilla on the 15th?
One-OffManifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No (90.2%)
Resuelto: 17 ago 2026, 8:54
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 90.2%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 días
Desactualizado7 ago 26, 20:4415 ago 26, 23:59
Tendencias
90.2%
9.8%
Reglas
Target Date: August 15, 2026 (local time in Melilla, CET).
- Resolution Sources: Official statements from the Spanish Government Delegation in Melilla (Delegación del Gobierno en Melilla) or reports by reputable Spanish and international news outlets (e.g., RTVE, El País)
- This market will resolve to YES if on August 15, 2026 (including the overnight periods beginning August 14 or ending August 16), there is a coordinated border crossing attempt at the Melilla-Morocco border where:
- At least 1,000 people are reported to have attempted to cross the Melilla border fence or checkpoints, OR
- At least 200 people are reported to have successfully entered Melilla irregularly on that day.
- NO Resolution: If no such coordinated mass entry or attempt occurs on this date, or if the reported numbers fall below both thresholds, the market will resolve to NO.