Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 60%
Pronosticadores
74
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado23 feb 24, 20:37 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Will there be an Unsong musical by the end of 2026?
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KalshiReglas
[image]I will create polls on Manifold and the ACX discord.
- To address survivorship bias, if the musical never happens, I will ask the creators why not.
- If they say that they cancelled it because it was going to be too hard to make it any good, I will resolve NO.
- If it was shelved for any other reason, I will resolve N/A. THE FINE PRINT:
- When summing results of multiple polls I will weigh the two equally, not in proportion to # of respondents.
Mercados abiertos
MusicKALSHIRunner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 15, 2026
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- Dai Dai3.4%
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- 15,4 mil €
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- 15,4 mil €
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- Above 13.9M99%
- Above 14M99%
- Above 13.7M99%
+28 resultados más
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- 13,8 mil €
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- 13,8 mil €
KALSHIRunner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 15, 2026
- Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip12%
- Parvati5%
- SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video)1%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 12,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIWestside Whimsy: First Week Album Equivalent Units
- Above 65K99%
- Above 10K99%
- Above 25K99%
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- 54,1 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the Unsong musical be good??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 60% a fecha de 15 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the Unsong musical be good??
- Está previsto que Will the Unsong musical be good? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the Unsong musical be good??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: [image]I will create polls on Manifold and the ACX discord.