This market will resolve to YES if, during any single standard trading session from the time of market creation through November 12, 2026, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) closes at least 1,000.00 points higher or at least 1,000.00 points lower than its close from the immediately preceding trading session.
Otherwise, if no such trading session occurs by the end of the regular trading day on November 12, 2026, this market will resolve to NO.
Source of Truth: The official daily closing price of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) as reported on Yahoo Finance or Bloomberg.
Formula: Resolution is determined by the absolute difference between the closing price of day $t$ and the closing price of day $t-1$: $$|\text{Close}{t} - \text{Close}{t-1}| \ge 1,000.00$$
Scope: Only official daily closing values are considered.
¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the DJIA close up OR down by 1,000 points in a single session by November 12, 2026 (11/12/26)??
Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 71% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the DJIA close up OR down by 1,000 points in a single session by November 12, 2026 (11/12/26)??
Está previsto que Will the DJIA close up OR down by 1,000 points in a single session by November 12, 2026 (11/12/26)? se resuelva el 11 de noviembre de 2026.
¿Cómo se liquida Will the DJIA close up OR down by 1,000 points in a single session by November 12, 2026 (11/12/26)??
Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria