Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 94.6%
Pronosticadores
24
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado2 jul 24, 16:47 UTC1 feb 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Average Global Temperature in December 2026 be greater than 1.2 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average?
ForecastExWill the Average Global Temperature in December 2026 be greater than 1.3 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average?
ForecastExWill the average Global Temperature in 2026 be greater than 1.2 C (2.16 F) above the 20th century average?
ForecastExWill the average Global Temperature in 2026 be greater than 1.33 C (2.39 F) above the 20th century average?
ForecastExAverage global surface air temperature anomaly in 2026 relative to the pre-industrial baseline?
FutuurWill the mean global near-surface temperature for 2023-2027 exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolve according to the "mean" average temperature reported in this webpage https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/temperature-anomaly
- resolves to 50% in case of a tie.
