Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 89.5%
Pronosticadores
50
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado15 sept 24, 12:29 UTC31 dic 27, 12:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Space tourism is rapidly advancing, but whether it will be mainstream by 2027 is uncertain.
- Proponents argue that technological advancements, commercial launch plans, and infrastructure development like space hotels will make it accessible.
- However, critics point out the high costs, safety and regulatory challenges, and limited capacity, suggesting it will remain exclusive.
- Resolution Criteria:This will resolve YES if:
- By the end of 2027, space tourism flights are commercially available and can be booked by the general public, similar to traditional airline flights, regardless of cost.
- This will resolve NO if:
