¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will somebody get legally married at the SF Pursuit finale??

Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 55% a fecha de 13 de agosto de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve Will somebody get legally married at the SF Pursuit finale??

Está previsto que Will somebody get legally married at the SF Pursuit finale? se resuelva el 12 de agosto de 2026.

¿Cómo se liquida Will somebody get legally married at the SF Pursuit finale??

Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: SF Pursuit is a monthlong puzzle/scavenger hunt in San Francisco.

Will somebody get legally married at the SF Pursuit finale?

One-Off

Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Este mercado se resolvió: No (44.7%)

Resuelto: 12 ago 2026, 7:39

Resolución verificada por el proveedor

CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.

Pronóstico comunitario actual

Sí 55.3%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 8 días

Desactualizado

9 ago 26, 19:2912 ago 26, 7:39

Cronología de Probabilidad

Yes55.3%

No44.7%

Sí

55.3%

44.7%

Reglas

SF Pursuit is a monthlong puzzle/scavenger hunt in San Francisco.

The Time Traveler's Ball (the hunt finale) is this Tuesday from 6:30 to 9:00 PM somewhere in SF.
On the website, there's a link to this form to get legally married at the finale.
You don't have to click through that page in order to get invited to the finale, and as far as I know the marriage thing isn't advertised anywhere else.
Ethical market manipulation is encouraged.