Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No (99%)
Resuelto: 13 oct 2026, 8:07
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
No
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
—
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 13 oct 2026, 18:38 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes7.7%
No92.3%
NoGanada
SíPerdida
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
B.I.G. (formerly known as "Project Big") is a sport climb in Flatanger, Norway, first climbed by Jakob Schubert in 2023 and given the grade 9c.
- By "confirmed" I mean two climbers complete the route and give it the grade 9c.
- If either climber gives it a grade different to 9c, market remains open (close date extending as necessary).
- If the grade ends up being really controversial I'll use my own judgment of the balance of opinion of relevant experts to decide if it is reasonable to say it has been "confirmed" 9c.
- (For example, if the second climber gives it 9b+ and the third climber gives it 9c, it's quite likely that I will consider that "confirmed 9c" but I'll try to find out what the consensus among climbers is.)
- If another climb is confirmed 9c first, or if a consensus is formed that B.I.G. is not 9c (either higher or lower) this market resolves NO.
