Will NASA be folded into the US Department of Transportation?
Corporate ActionsOne-OffUS PoliticsSpacePolíticaElección2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 97.5%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 20 horas
Desactualizado21 oct 25, 2:40 UTC1 ene 29, 2:27 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
will the US department of state issue surveillance-related travel warnings to people who visit china by EOY2028??
Manifold MarketsWill the Department of Government Efficiency recommend cancelling Blue Origin's Human Landing System before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill any of NASA's Canoo Crew Transportation Vehicles (CTVs) fail during operation or no longer be utilised by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWho will be a part of the next government of Sweden?
KalshiWho will be a part of the next government of Israel?
KalshiTrump Space Academy begins training by June 30, 2027?
PolymarketReglas
Transportation secretary and acting NASA administrator Sean Duffy is pushing for NASA to be folded into the Department of Transportation (according to reports by the WSJ and Eric Berger of Ars Technica), will this happen before the end of Trump's second term?
- This market resolves YES if NASA ceases to operate as an independent agency and is formally integrated into the U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT) as a subordinate administration or office.
- This integration must be confirmed by official legislative action through an act of Congress, or by a Presidential Executive Order issued under specific statutory reorganization authority explicitly enabling such a merger, and widely reported by reputable news organizations.
- The market will resolve to "No" if such a formal integration has not occurred before the end of Trump's second term; or if it's sufficiently certain that it won't occur before then.
- https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy/trump-nasa-administrator-conflict-b7df4877?mod=e2fb
Mercados abiertos
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 82,1 mil €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes8%
- Volumen total
- 2,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 17,9 mil €
POLYMARKETWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 15 mil €
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill GameStop acquire eBay?
- No92.1%
- Yes7.9%
- Volumen total
- 2,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 13,7 mil €
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Israeli Legislative Election Winner
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will NASA be folded into the US Department of Transportation??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 98% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will NASA be folded into the US Department of Transportation??
- Está previsto que Will NASA be folded into the US Department of Transportation? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will NASA be folded into the US Department of Transportation??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Transportation secretary and acting NASA administrator Sean Duffy is pushing for NASA to be folded into the Department of Transportation (according to reports by the WSJ and Eric Berger of Ars Technica), will this happen before the end of Trump's second term?