Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Yes (96.4%)
Resuelto: 1 oct 2026, 18:47
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 2 oct 2026, 6:23 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes96.4%
No3.5999999999999943%
Ganada
Perdida
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Google Gemini rank above ChatGPT in the App Store at EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsMuse: First Week Pure Album Sales
KalshiMuse: First Week Album Equivalent Units
KalshiMuse: First Week Streams
KalshiWill Apple VR App Store revenue surpass Meta Quest Store revenues in 4 years?
Manifold MarketsHow long will Sanae Takaichi be the prime minister of Japan? (She assumed office on October 21st, 2025.)
Manifold MarketsReglas
It just reached #1 under free apps, will it stay this way? I will check at 10am PST, if muse is #1 on October 1st, resolves YES.