Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 71.1%
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado20 sept 25, 8:46 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Leopold Aschenbrenner return to OpenAI?
KalshiLeopold Aschenbrenner charged by which date?
PolymarketLeopold Aschenbrenner firing from OpenAI market
Manifold MarketsLeopold Aschenbrenner makes no public statements of consequence for a 2-year period before 2035
Manifold MarketsWill Leopold Aschenbrenner be sanctioned by the PRC by 2029
Manifold MarketsWill fanfic featuring Leopold Aschenbrenner building the death star exist by 2029
Manifold MarketsReglas
Between Sep 20 2025 and Dec 31 2026