Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No (93.4%)
Resuelto: 1 oct 2026, 5:34
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 31 ago 2026, 21:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes6.6%
No93.4%
Ganada
Perdida
Reglas
Resolves YES if Jinbaobao's trailing twelve months (TTM) tin production is reported below 40,000 tonnes in their official production disclosures or industry reports as of August 31, 2026.
- Data sources include Jinbaobao's company reports, Chinese mining authorities, or verified industry publications.
- Given Jinbaobao's recent export ban impacting roughly 12% of global tin supply, this threshold near 40 kt reflects a critical level influencing global tin availability and pricing.
- Production figures must exclude downstream refining or recycling volumes and focus solely on mined tin output attributed to Jinbaobao.
- Jinbaobao's sudden tin export ban, covering 12% of global supply, significantly tightens the market, influencing pricing and availability.
- Source: Article
