Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No (96.8%)
Resuelto: 1 oct 2026, 5:34
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 31 ago 2026, 21:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes3.2%
No96.8%
Ganada
Perdida
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves YES if Jinbaobao reports its trailing twelve months (TTM) tin production below 60,000 tonnes in official company disclosures or industry reports as of August 31, 2026.
- Data sources include Jinbaobao's production reports, Chinese mining statistics, or authoritative market intelligence.
- Given Jinbaobao's recent tin export ban impacting about 12% of global supply, this threshold reflects a near-term contraction in output amid ongoing geopolitical and supply chain constraints.
- Production figures must exclude recycled tin and only count primary mine output.
- This market evaluates the production level exactly on the settlement date, not cumulative or annual totals.
- Jinbaobao's sudden tin export ban, covering 12% of global supply, significantly tightens the market, influencing pricing and availability.