Will hafnium unwrought metal price exceed 2000 USD/kg on December 31, 2028?
Materias primasDailyChina2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 4:28 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualSí 56.4%
Pronosticadores
1
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado7 abr 26, 14:55 UTC31 dic 28, 5:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will hafnium unwrought metal price exceed 6500 USD/kg on December 31, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill hafnium unwrought metal price exceed 4000 USD/kg on December 31, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill hafnium unwrought metal price exceed 4000 USD/kg on December 31, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill hafnium unwrought metal price exceed 2000 USD/kg on December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill China restrict exports of tantalum on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China rhenium imports exceed 20 thousand kg in the year ending December 2027?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market resolves YES if hafnium unwrought metal price exceeds 2000 USD/kg on December 31, 2028.
- What is being measured: Hafnium unwrought metal spot price (USD/kg) on or nearest to December 31, 2028, based on USGS MCS annual average (for yearly markets) or Asian Metal / Argus Metals International spot quotes (for quarterly markets).
- YES if: Hafnium spot price >= 2000 USD/kg on December 31, 2028 NO if: Hafnium spot price < 2000 USD/kg on December 31, 2028
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — Hafnium section (usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/mcs) Published February annually; covers prior calendar year average price
- Asian Metal — hafnium unwrought China domestic price (asianmetal.com)
