Will hafnium unwrought metal price exceed 2000 USD/kg on December 31, 2029?
Materias primasDailyChina3a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 51.9%
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2
Tipo de pregunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
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Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado7 abr 26, 14:56 UTC31 dic 29, 5:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market resolves YES if hafnium unwrought metal price exceeds 2000 USD/kg on December 31, 2029.
- What is being measured: Hafnium unwrought metal spot price (USD/kg) on or nearest to December 31, 2029, based on USGS MCS annual average (for yearly markets) or Asian Metal / Argus Metals International spot quotes (for quarterly markets).
- YES if: Hafnium spot price >= 2000 USD/kg on December 31, 2029 NO if: Hafnium spot price < 2000 USD/kg on December 31, 2029
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — Hafnium section (usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/mcs) Published February annually; covers prior calendar year average price
- Asian Metal — hafnium unwrought China domestic price (asianmetal.com)
