Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 9:52 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 75%
Sí 75%Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado ayer
Desactualizado17 mar 23, 1:08 UTC2 ene 40, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Fully realistic virtual reality (VR) has the potential to revolutionize various aspects of our lives, including entertainment, education, communication, and professional training.
- Achieving a fully realistic virtual reality would require significant advancements in a range of technologies, including immersive displays, haptic feedback, audio systems, and real-time rendering of complex environments.
- Resolution criteria:
- This question will resolve to "YES" if, before January 1st 2040, a virtual reality system is publicly and credibly documented to have:
- Provided an immersive visual experience with a field of view (FOV) of at least 210 degrees horizontally and 130 degrees vertically, a resolution of at least 60 pixels per degree, and a refresh rate of 90 Hz or higher.
- Enabled real-time tracking and rendering of the user's body movements, facial expressions, and gestures with a latency of less than 20 milliseconds.
