Will "Customer Satisfaction Opportunities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
One-OffBusiness & Corporate1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 86.3%
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1
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binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado18 mar 26, 0:00 UTC1 feb 28, 0:00 UTC
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KalshiReglas
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Customer Satisfaction Opportunities is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Mercados abiertos
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+4.0pt99%
- $25M+3.5pt96%
- $50M+4.0pt91%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 565,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 451,4 mil €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+25.0pt90%
- 65-89-8.5pt10%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 resultados más
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-0.5pt78.2%
- Apple-0.1pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
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POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.4%
- 200-21917.5%
- 160-179+3.0pt16.5%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIIllinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- Above 87.5 TWh97%
- Above 90.0 TWh+1.0pt96%
- Above 92.5 TWh+3.0pt95%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 118,1 mil €
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 189,5 mil €
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- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
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- Largest Company end of September?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will "Customer Satisfaction Opportunities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 86% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will "Customer Satisfaction Opportunities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Está previsto que Will "Customer Satisfaction Opportunities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? se resuelva el 1 de febrero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will "Customer Satisfaction Opportunities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.