Will Clint Eastwood, William Shatner, and Rita Moreno all be alive on Thanksgiving 2026?
One-OffWeather2mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 74%
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado12 ene 26, 1:05 UTC26 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
Prop resolves Yes if all three are alive at any time EST on November 26, 2026.
- This is one of 25 props in the 11th annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
- https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2026-narcissist-forecasting-contest
- The prop and any ambiguities will be resolved by a panel of human judges, as described in the fine print of the entry form:
- https://forms.gle/nDDxdxyYSNheY9FV7
- This means that the prop may resolve differently from how other, similar-looking Manifold props resolve.
Mercados abiertos
Weather
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+65.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-29.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-6.0pt1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 622,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 579,5 mil €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+41.0pt99%
- Houston+62.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+4.0pt99%
+19 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIHighest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- 102° to 103°+69.0pt95.2%
- 100° to 101°-59.0pt1%
- 98° to 99°-10.0pt1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 85 F on September 8, 2026?
- Yes98%
- No2%
- Volumen total
- 108,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 108,2 mil €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- 22°C+72.0pt97%
- 23°C-8.5pt2%
- 24°C-0.8pt1%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+70.0pt100%
- 21°C or below-0.9pt0%
- 22°C-0.9pt0%
+8 resultados más
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 86 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 87 F on September 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 89 F on September 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 88 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 8, 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Clint Eastwood, William Shatner, and Rita Moreno all be alive on Thanksgiving 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 74% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Clint Eastwood, William Shatner, and Rita Moreno all be alive on Thanksgiving 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Clint Eastwood, William Shatner, and Rita Moreno all be alive on Thanksgiving 2026? se resuelva el 26 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Clint Eastwood, William Shatner, and Rita Moreno all be alive on Thanksgiving 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Prop resolves Yes if all three are alive at any time EST on November 26, 2026.