Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 66.5%
Pronosticadores
2
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
6 abr 26, 18:26 UTC31 mar 29, 4:00 UTC
Tendencias
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Will China polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 1500 kt?
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ForecastExReglas
This market resolves YES if China's total polysilicon production (all grades, HS 2804.61) for the full calendar year 2028 exceeds 2200 kt, as reported by CPIA or USGS MCS.
- YES if: China polysilicon production for 2028 >= 2200 kt NO if: China polysilicon production for 2028 < 2200 kt
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- CPIA annual polysilicon production report
- USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — Silicon chapter (released February annually)
- InfoLink Consulting annual polysilicon supply report
