Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 87%
Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
6 abr 26, 18:23 UTC31 mar 27, 4:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will China polysilicon production for 2026 exceed 1500 kt?
Manifold MarketsWill China polysilicon production for 2026 exceed 1800 kt?
Manifold MarketsWill Wacker Chemie polysilicon production for 2026 exceed 60 kt?
Manifold MarketsWill Wacker Chemie polysilicon production for 2026 exceed 75 kt?
Manifold MarketsWill Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceed -6.5 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceed -8.5 in December 2026?
ForecastExReglas
This market resolves YES if China's total polysilicon production (all grades, HS 2804.61) for the full calendar year 2026 exceeds 2200 kt, as reported by CPIA or USGS MCS.
- YES if: China polysilicon production for 2026 >= 2200 kt NO if: China polysilicon production for 2026 < 2200 kt
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- CPIA annual polysilicon production report
- USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — Silicon chapter (released February annually)
- InfoLink Consulting annual polysilicon supply report
