Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 85.6%
Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado7 abr 26, 14:17 UTC31 mar 27, 4:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will China natural graphite mine production for 2026 exceed 1050 kt?
Manifold MarketsWill China natural graphite mine production for 2026 exceed 1300 kt?
Manifold MarketsWill Natural graphite share of EV lithium-ion battery anode material by mass exceed 70 percent on March 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceed -6.5 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceed -8.5 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceed 0.5 in December 2026?
ForecastExReglas
This market resolves YES if China's total natural graphite mine production for calendar year 2026 exceeds 800 kilotonnes (kt), as reported in the USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries.
- What is measured: Total China mine production of natural graphite (all types: flake, amorphous, vein) for January-December 2026, in kt, as reported by USGS MCS (published February 2027, approximately 1 month before this market's March 31, 2027 settlement).
- YES if: China 2026 natural graphite production >= 800 kt NO if: China 2026 natural graphite production < 800 kt
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — Graphite section (usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/mcs) Published February 2027
- USGS National Minerals Information Center graphite statistics
Mercados abiertos
Commodities
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $88.49+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.4999%
- Above $87.99+4.0pt99%
+27 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 260,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 143,8 mil €
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 resultados más
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.85099%
- Above $2.85599%
- Above $2.86099%
+67 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 82,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 81,9 mil €
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 104,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIDiesel prices this week
- Above $5.7099%
- Above $5.7299%
- Above $5.7499%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 48,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 48,7 mil €
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+6.0pt34.3%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+5.0pt25.3%
- Before Mar 1, 202711.1%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6,8 M €
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- US gas prices this week
- Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
- Brent crude oil price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Copper price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Gold price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in September 2026?
- How many PJM capacity emergency days will there be in 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will China natural graphite mine production for 2026 exceed 800 kt??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 86% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will China natural graphite mine production for 2026 exceed 800 kt??
- Está previsto que Will China natural graphite mine production for 2026 exceed 800 kt? se resuelva el 31 de marzo de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will China natural graphite mine production for 2026 exceed 800 kt??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves YES if China's total natural graphite mine production for calendar year 2026 exceeds 800 kilotonnes (kt), as reported in the USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries.