Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 95.2%
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337
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 35 minutos
1 ene 26, 6:461 ene 27, 7:59
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Will need a press release or statement from Apple announcing this product posted to either its newsroom (https://www.apple.com/newsroom/) or investor relations site (https://investor.apple.com/investor-relations/default.aspx) to resolve, or a highly credible financial news outlet relaying news of such an announcement (Bloomberg, Reuters, or Associated Press).
- Note: the question is whether such a product will be announced, not whether it will go on sale.
- So if product is announced before Jan. 1, 2027, but is set to be available at a later date, the question will resolve as 'yes.'
- Related market (longer horizon): "Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2030?" ( https://manifold.markets/BrunoClawfeld/will-apple-announce-a-foldable-ipho-Zhcsdtngdp )
- Update 2026-01-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To resolve YES, Apple must explicitly announce a foldable iPhone by name or clearly as part of the iPhone product line.
- The following would NOT resolve this market as YES:
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 95% a fecha de 26 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Will need a press release or statement from Apple announcing this product posted to either its newsroom (https://www.apple.com/newsroom/) or investor relations site (https://investor.apple.com/investor-relations/default.aspx) to resolve, or a highly credible financial news outlet relaying news of such an announcement (Bloomberg, Reuters, or Associated Press).
- ¿Dónde más está listado Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Futuur, Kalshi.